缅甸强震早有预兆？专家两百年前已示警，关键断层带沉寂是主因
缅甸突发强震，伤亡惨重！为何天灾防不胜防？地震专家早已发出警告，这究竟是怎么回事？https://wsrv.nl/?url=https://cdn.hk01.com/di/media/images/dw/20250328/982401980938850304170249.jpeg/yPAtQJ9kqBt4I0rr_vDoSkfVEZDfNeXU-LJ39viyd_Y
据美国媒体报道，3月28日，缅甸发生里氏7.7级强烈地震，震中位于中部城市实皆西北方约16公里处，震源深度10公里。新加坡地球观测站研究员韦生吉（Kyaw Moe Oo）表示，此次地震发生在“实皆断层”的其中一段，该区域已有200年没有活动。他指出，实皆断层历史上就发生过多次强震，调查缅甸地震10年之久的他表示，本次地震的区域至少200年没有动静，根据史料和现代科学的调查，已经可以预见大地震将会爆发。韦生吉向美国媒体表示，“这次地震对我们来说并不意外”，地震发生之前，他已将相关风险告知缅甸当局和科学家。截至发稿时，据缅甸媒体报道，这次地震造成694人死亡、逾1670人受伤，伤亡数字仍在陆续增加。
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实皆断层介绍
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实皆断层全长约1200公里，从缅甸北部延伸至仰光，属于“右旋走滑断层”，与印度板块向欧亚板块的俯冲碰撞直接相关；滑动速率高达每年18至23毫米，是全球活跃的陆内断层之一。在实皆断层上发生强震的历史记录包括：1931年面波震级7.5级地震；1946年两次矩震级7.3级和7.7级地震；1956年面波震级7.0级地震；2012年矩震级6.9级地震，造成26人死亡、4000多栋房屋损毁。实皆断层穿越缅甸经济核心城市，如第二大城市曼德勒和实皆都是人口稠密地区，再加上大量砖木结构房屋缺乏抗震设计。
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